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Cozen Currents: Can House GOP Put Humpty Dumpty Back Together Again?

The Cozen Lens- • The fight over the House speakership reveals how the combination of House Republicans’ narrow majority and fractious conference prevents them from accomplishing much for the remainder of 2023. • The...more

Cozen Currents: Democracy in Disarray?

The Cozen Lens- What role the United States should play in today’s unstable world is a legitimate debate to have, but to be able to provide any form of leadership abroad, the US needs to be able to demonstrate a certain...more

Cozen Currents: Political Costs Add Up on Both Sides

The Cozen Lens- • The disarray in the House GOP conference has political benefits for Democrats, at least in the short term, but it could also have a significant impact on FY24 discretionary spending, which could result in...more

Cozen O’Connor - Cozen Currents: Biden v. Trump Redux: Is This Really Going to Happen?

The Cozen Lens- • Every presidential election is hyped as being the “most consequential.” But given the contrasts between what a Biden and Trump second term would look like, this description very well could prove to be...more

Cozen Currents: The Politics of Soul-searching

The Cozen Lens- • President Biden’s and former President Trump’s reactions to the United Auto Workers strike against the Big Three automakers underscores that neither political party can take the support of blue-collar...more

Cozen Currents: Biden Owns Bidenomics

The Cozen Lens- •Former President Trump and the eponymous Trumpism may still be front-and-center, but no less consequential for voters, the economy is the fate of a new eponym in the DC zeitgeist: Bidenomics. •Interest in...more

Cozen Currents: Corporate America Caught in the Political Crossfire

The culture wars continue to present a challenge for corporate America, resulting in diminished influence of the “Chamber of Commerce” business perspective in Washington. But the bipartisan legislative successes of the past...more

Cozen Currents: The Political Fiction of the Debt Ceiling

The Cozen Lens- •While the two sides remain far apart ideologically on a debt ceiling compromise, there is plenty of creativity that can be used to close the gap so both sides can claim a political victory. •Despite...more

Cozen Currents: The State of the Economy is [FILL IN THE BLANK]

The Cozen Lens- •The state of the economy is unclear, with conflicting indicators of where it is heading. But this uncertainty isn't stopping Washington, DC from defining the economy for partisan gains. •With regional banks...more

Cozen Currents: Is 2024 Going to be Déjà Vu All Over Again?

The Cozen Lens- •President Biden launched his fourth and final campaign for president last week, this time as an incumbent. Biden's MO is to prove the naysayers wrong while pointing out he's the least worst option. •This...more

Cozen Currents: The Taxman Cometh, But Which Taxman?

The Cozen Lens- •Congress isn't in its tax heyday like it was in 2017 or 2021, but tax policy is far from dormant as the Biden administration focuses on implementing the Inflation Reduction Act tax agenda and a major tax...more

Cozen Currents: The Politics of Moderation

The Cozen Lens- President Biden is taking actions to move towards the center of the electorate as he prepares a re-election bid. Underlying this move is a desire to be a palatable alternative to MAGA Republicans as well as...more

Cozen Currents: Banking on a Crisis

The Cozen Lens- •This past weekend’s fast-moving banking crisis was an abrupt reminder that the era of easy money is over. While regulators were able to avoid broader contagion (at least for now), this crisis has...more

Cozen Currents: Biden Needs to Draw a Crowd

The Cozen Lens- To achieve his goals of boosting clean energy and reinvigorating domestic manufacturing, President Biden aims to leverage funding from the private sector to implement his three major legislative achievements:...more

Cozen Currents: Threading the Needle

The Cozen Lens- •With Nikki Haley announcing her bid for the presidency last week, she represents the first of what will likely be several more announcements this year. Right now, the biggest unanswered question is whether...more

Cozen Currents: What Makes the GOP McTick in Divided Government

The Cozen Lens- •House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) will have one of the most consequential relationships in Washington, DC over the next two years as Republicans try to...more

Cozen Currents: Trump is Biden's Best (and Worst) Case for Re-election

The Cozen Lens- •Presidential re-election campaigns are generally a referendum on the incumbent, but for President Biden, the negative case for a second term (i.e., he’s not former President Trump) is stronger than the...more

Cozen Currents - 2023: The Year of the Moderates?

The Cozen Lens- •Although former President Trump is the only declared candidate for 2024 thus far, several in the GOP will seek to claim the mantle of the MAGA movement. Meanwhile, President Biden will lay the groundwork...more

Cozen Currents: November 15, 2022

The Cozen Lens- •Midterm elections are often a referendum on the president and his party in power. But in 2022, it was a referendum on both Bidenism and Trumpism as President Biden and former President Trump continue to...more

Cozen Currents: Industrial Policy is Back

The Cozen Lens- •After several decades in which industrial policy was out of fashion in Washington, a bipartisan consensus has emerged around the need for the US to have its own, largely to counter China....more

Cozen Currents: The Politics of Democracy

The Cozen Lens- The 2020 election and its aftermath were a major stress test of American democracy. There are more stress tests to come in this year’s midterm election and in 2024. ...more

Cozen Currents: Are Democrats Overplaying Their Hand?

The Cozen Lens- •For all the focus on the culture wars in the midterms this year, politicians in close races are spending most of their time focused on the economy, likely making it the decisive electoral factor. ...more

Cozen Currents: Why Do People Hate President Biden?

Republicans love to cuss out the president while Democrats aren’t feeling much love for their party leader. Yet the success and longevity of Joe Biden's presidency won't be measured by who he is and how many memes are...more

Cozen Currents: 2024's Bull Market for Presidential Candidates

The Cozen Lens •It may be a bear market on Wall Street but it's a bull market for 2024 presidential ambitions. Even if they don't pull the lever and run, would-be candidates, left and right, need to begin the...more

Cozen Currents: Are Republicans Able to Have Trumpism Without Trump?

The Cozen Lens- •Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) is running for reelection this year. But all eyes are on what he does two years later, as DeSantis presents the most formidable challenge to a third presidential election cycle...more

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