The Cozen Lens-
• Amidst a narrowly divided electorate and election of an aging president, the VP may buck history and actually matter on this year’s ballot.
• Congress’ effort to pass a bipartisan tax bill this year is a...more
The Cozen Lens -
• Michigan was a reliably blue state in national elections for much of the last 30 years until former President Trump broke through the “blue wall” in 2016. Although President Biden won the state in 2020, he...more
The Cozen Lens-
• A second term for former President Trump would mean the return of his “America First” foreign policy, including its resulting geopolitical uncertainty.
• President Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping...more
1/24/2024
/ China ,
Donald Trump ,
Geopolitical Risks ,
International Trade ,
Israel ,
Joe Biden ,
NATO ,
Political Candidates ,
Presidential Elections ,
Tariffs ,
Trade Deficit ,
Ukraine
The Cozen Lens-
• On the third anniversary of the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol, both Democrats and Republicans argue that democracy is under threat, but from distinctly different perspectives.
• Both parties...more
The Cozen Lens-
• As James Carville quipped in 1992, “It’s the economy, stupid.” This likely still holds true for 2024.
• Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley’s (R-SC) campaign for the GOP presidential nomination...more
12/13/2023
/ Big Tech ,
Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) ,
Credit Cards ,
Data Protection ,
Digital Wallets ,
Donald Trump ,
Federal Budget ,
FinTech ,
Government Shutdown ,
Joe Biden ,
Late Fees ,
Payment Processors ,
Political Campaigns ,
Political Candidates ,
Presidential Elections ,
Presidential Nominations ,
Recessions
The Cozen Lens-
•Republicans have been talking a big game about repealing the Inflation Reduction Act in its entirety but actually going through with it will be more difficult.
•Non-defense spending is poised to be hit...more
12/6/2023
/ Affordable Care Act ,
Appropriations Bill ,
Border Security ,
Budget Cuts ,
Congressional Budget Office ,
Federal Budget ,
Governor DeSantis ,
Governor Newsom ,
Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) ,
Pentagon ,
Political Candidates ,
Political Parties
The Cozen Lens-
•President Biden and the likely 2024 Republican presidential nominee, former President Trump, both have high unfavorability ratings, setting up next year’s election as a choice between the lesser of two...more
The Cozen Lens -
• More focus has been on former President Trump’s chances of winning in 2024 than on what a second Trump term would look like.
• While Democrats did very well in last week’s elections, it remains to be...more
The Cozen Lens-
• House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) made it through the shutdown showdown but has perpetually been at risk of losing his gavel. The best thing he has going for him though is that any successor might have...more
The Cozen Lens-
• Every presidential election is hyped as being the “most consequential.” But given the contrasts between what a Biden and Trump second term would look like, this description very well could prove to be...more
The Cozen Lens-
• President Biden’s and former President Trump’s reactions to the United Auto Workers strike against the Big Three automakers underscores that neither political party can take the support of blue-collar...more
9/19/2023
/ America First Trade Policy ,
Artificial Intelligence ,
Automotive Industry ,
Department of Labor (DOL) ,
Donald Trump ,
Federal Reserve ,
Federal Trade Commission (FTC) ,
Foreign Policy ,
Governor DeSantis ,
Joe Biden ,
Labor Relations ,
NLRB ,
Political Candidates ,
Presidential Elections ,
Price Inflation ,
Strike ,
UAW ,
Ukraine ,
Unions
The Cozen Lens-
• Members of Congress have returned to Washington with a lengthy to-do list. Most pressing is appropriations given the potential for a government shutdown at the end of this month. Lawmakers will address...more
9/13/2023
/ Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) ,
Cryptocurrency ,
Dear Colleague Letter ,
Debt Ceiling ,
Government Agencies ,
Government Shutdown ,
Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) ,
Medicare ,
NDAA ,
Political Candidates ,
Political Parties ,
Prescription Drugs ,
Presidential Elections ,
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
The Cozen Lens-
• The 2024 presidential race is taking shape with the first GOP presidential debate next month and primaries just over six months away. But many voters aren’t interested in the race yet, probably due to the...more
The second indictment against former President Trump this year may be the talk of the town, but has done little to change the political or governing dynamics in DC.
House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) successfully kept...more
The Cozen Lens-
•President Biden launched his fourth and final campaign for president last week, this time as an incumbent. Biden's MO is to prove the naysayers wrong while pointing out he's the least worst option.
•This...more
The Cozen Lens-
President Biden is taking actions to move towards the center of the electorate as he prepares a re-election bid. Underlying this move is a desire to be a palatable alternative to MAGA Republicans as well as...more
The Cozen Lens-
•With Nikki Haley announcing her bid for the presidency last week, she represents the first of what will likely be several more announcements this year. Right now, the biggest unanswered question is whether...more
The Cozen Lens-
•Presidential re-election campaigns are generally a referendum on the incumbent, but for President Biden, the negative case for a second term (i.e., he’s not former President Trump) is stronger than the...more
1/18/2023
/ Department of Labor (DOL) ,
Donald Trump ,
Federal Trade Commission (FTC) ,
Independent Contractors ,
Interest Rates ,
Joe Biden ,
Misclassification ,
Non-Compete Agreements ,
Political Campaigns ,
Political Candidates ,
Political Parties ,
Presidential Elections ,
Recessions
The Cozen Lens-
•Although former President Trump is the only declared candidate for 2024 thus far, several in the GOP will seek to claim the mantle of the MAGA movement. Meanwhile, President Biden will lay the groundwork...more
The Cozen Lens-
•The election may be over, but the politics for Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell and his Fed colleagues are just getting more complicated as they seek to bring down inflation.
•FTX’s collapse...more
The Cozen Lens-
•Midterm elections are often a referendum on the president and his party in power. But in 2022, it was a referendum on both Bidenism and Trumpism as President Biden and former President Trump continue to...more
The Cozen Lens-
•Early clues from Election Night will help guide an understanding for how the midterms will unfold and what those results will mean for the political and policy worlds moving forward.
•The Keystone State...more
The Cozen Lens-
•It's one week until the midterm elections and the biggest battle to determine congressional control is a tug of war between national issues and individual candidate qualities.
•Ticket splitting has...more
The Cozen Lens-
The 2020 election and its aftermath were a major stress test of American democracy. There are more stress tests to come in this year’s midterm election and in 2024. ...more
The Cozen Lens-
•For all the focus on the culture wars in the midterms this year, politicians in close races are spending most of their time focused on the economy, likely making it the decisive electoral factor. ...more
9/21/2022
/ Consumer Price Index ,
Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization ,
Donald Trump ,
Gas Prices ,
Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) ,
Joe Biden ,
NLRB ,
Political Candidates ,
Political Parties ,
Price Inflation ,
Primary Elections ,
SCOTUS ,
Senate Confirmation Hearings ,
Union Organizers ,
Unions