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2022 Midterms Post-Election Outlook and Analysis

The red wave that wasn’t could be enough to shift control of the House to Republicans, whose possible narrow majority heading into next year may present new challenges for governance but no less of an oversight headache for...more

Midterms State of Play, Nov. 4, 2022

Less than a week out from Election Day, Republicans appear to be in the driver’s seat, leading or narrowing deficits in many key House and Senate races. At present, FiveThirtyEight projects Republicans have an 85% chance to...more

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