Currents - Energy Industry Insights, V 9, Issue 7, July 2025

 

Volume 9, Issue 7

Welcome

Welcome to our seventh issue of Currents 2025. In this issue, we look at the changing tides for coal, the new NEPA procedures, West Virginians desire for lower cost energy, southwestern Virginia's newest advanced nuclear reactor, data centers and reliability, the chase of net zero and the continued rise of natural gas, potential cuts for EPA, Ohio and solar projects, the slip in EV sales, and Virginia's offshore wind energy strides.

Again, thank you for reading!


 

 



 

 

 

One Big Beautiful Comeback: Coal-Fired Generation

By Steven W. Lee

In recent years, coal-fired generation has reduced significantly in relation to other energy generation. As recently as 2014, according to the Environmental and Energy Study Institute, coal produced 39 percent of electricity in the U.S. Last year, that number had dropped to 15 percent. While this has in part been a result of greater use of other energy sources, including natural gas, wind, and solar, the reduction in coal production also occurred because, over the past two decades, nearly 75 percent of U.S. coal plants have retired or planned to do so by 2030.

The steady decline of coal, however, has recently slowed as a result of multiple federal and state government measures.

Click here to read the entire article.

Decoding Agencies’ New NEPA Procedures

“On April 8, the White House Council on Environmental Quality circulated a draft template for federal agencies to use when updating their regulations and procedures implementing the National Environmental Policy Act.”

Why this is important: The National Environmental Policy Act has come under fire for several decades now because it’s often used as a cudgel against development. The NEPA requires federal agencies to assess the environmental effects of their proposed actions prior to making decisions regarding permit applications, deciding federal land management issues, and in construction of highways and publicly-owned facilities. The NEPA is extended to the states in instances in which there is a significant “federal nexus,” or connection to a state project. In practice, that almost always means a NEPA review is required where federal money is involved.

Using the NEPA process, agencies evaluate the environmental and related social and economic effects of their proposed actions. Agencies also provide opportunities for public review and comment on those evaluations. The reviews are cumbersome, expensive, and time consuming. They often take years to complete, both in terms of agency actions and in the litigation that accompanies controversial projects.

The NEPA landscape changed significantly when President Trump took office and stripped the Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ), which has overseen NEPA implementation since the 1970s, of its legal authority to issue rules regarding NEPA. Accordingly, there is currently a void that the Trump administration needs to fill with regard to how NEPA is carried out.

Further complicating matters, President Trump issued Executive Order 14154 on January 29, 2025, which directed the CEQ to provide guidance to expedite permitting approvals. 90 Fed. Reg. 8,353 (Jan. 29, 2025). The CEQ has done so, but the guidance is simply that: guidance without the force or effect of law. Accordingly, federal agencies and their state counterparts have been left to write or revise their own rules and policies for NEPA implementation. The Departments of Energy, the Interior, and Defense have rescinded their former regulations and have issued new guidance that takes the form of “operating procedures.”

The new CEQ template features the following changes:

  1. Events that require NEPA review now must be both “major” and a “federal action,” and the new definition of “major” allows agencies to set a monetary threshold for requiring review.
  2. The CEQ guidance revisits “significance” and trimmed the definition of “potentially affected environment” to specifically exclude global and other downstream effects. Further, the “degree of effects” analysis now specifically allows project segmentation. Lastly, the new section bars agencies from requiring or conducting new scientific research. The segmentation and research changes are groundbreaking in the NEPA world and will potentially shorten environmental reviews by years.
  3. The new guidance requires that potential effects have a “reasonably close causal relationship” to the proposed action, which means, like in the recent unanimous SCOTUS holding in Eagle County, 145 S. Ct. 1497 (May 29, 2025), agencies needn’t consider “upstream” or “downstream” effects at all, especially if those effects are outside the jurisdictional reach of the reviewing agency. In Eagle County, a proposed 88-mile railroad in Utah would connect the Uinta oilfield with the Gulf Coast. The SCOTUS rejected the arguments that the environmental analyses were required to consider the effect on oil reserves or the environmental effect of increased drilling (the upstream effects) or the potential for increased GHG emissions once the oil was refined in Louisiana or abroad (the downstream effects). The CEQ guidance is even narrower, asserting that “effects should generally not be considered if they are remote in time, geographically remote, or the product of a lengthy causal chain.”

What these changes will mean for the regulated community or project proponents remains unclear, however, because all of them will be subject to the same kind of time-consuming litigation that has scarred environmental permitting for 40 years. In the meantime, at least, there may be light at the end of the policy litigation tunnel at last. --- Jason E. Wandling

Survey Finds West Virginians Eager to Declare Independence from Higher Electric Rates

“And a proposed bill of rights could help ratepayers secure their rights.”

Why this is important: The advocacy group “West Virginians for Energy Freedom” has released a survey of over 500 registered voters in West Virginia that identified high energy costs as a top-three priority for voters. The actual survey results (included in the referenced news article) found that 13 percent of all respondents and 20 percent of Republican voters cite lowering electricity bills as the most important issue facing West Virginians. Of note, the WV Public Service Commission was found to have a 65 percent strongly/somewhat disapproval rating. These findings underscore the public sentiment toward utility rates. Given these voter sentiments, stakeholders must maintain active engagement with state-level policymakers, including the Legislature, because this level of public frustration with energy costs will drive policy decisions that have broad implications. --- James M. Bailey

Plans in Motion for Southwest Virginia Advanced Nuclear Reactor

“The project will be supported by a $100,000 grant from the Virginia Clean Energy Innovation Bank and a $97,5000 GO Virginia grant.”

Why this is important: Plans to build an advanced nuclear reactor in southwestern Virginia continue. The project has received almost $200,000 in additional funds for the planning process and long-term construction plans. A Wise County site is the likely location for the advanced nuclear reactors, which will be built in factories and delivered to the site. Backers believe power from the plant will then stimulate economic growth. --- Mark E. Heath

Data Center Activity ‘Exploded’ in Texas, Spiking Reliability Risks: Monitor

“The ‘disorganized integration’ of large loads, like data centers, is the biggest growing reliability risk facing the Lone Star State’s electric grid, according to a June report discussed Thursday at the Public Utility Commission of Texas.”

Why this is important: As data centers come online, demand for electricity is growing quickly in Texas. Those data centers supporting artificial intelligence applications ramp up and down quickly, requiring generation that can adjust to meet demand. That isn’t possible with intermittent renewables like wind and solar, which can’t adjust output easily, and also lack spinning inertia that helps to maintain proper frequency control. The data centers will also be subject to curtailment during times of shortage, which will require some flexibility in their operations during times of high demand. --- David L. Yaussy

Why Natural Gas is Still Thriving in a World Chasing Net Zero

“With much of the world’s attention focused on wind turbines, solar panels, and electric vehicles, natural gas has grown in importance as the backbone of modern energy systems.”

Why this is important: Despite the rise in solar, wind, and hydropower energy output in the world, natural gas is still as important as ever. Natural gas plays an important role in getting the world to net zero emissions. With renewable energy sources becoming more frequent and practical, natural gas can bridge the gap until those renewable energy sources are everywhere.

The United States became the leader in natural gas production in 2011 when they surpassed Russia, who has yet to reach the highs they had before sanctions and their inability to pivot to the Asian markets successfully. While natural gas production has declined significantly in the EU, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries account for more than half of the natural gas production growth over the past decade. Along with the continued increasing production in many countries like the United States, there is an increase in global consumption of natural gas as well. Consumption hit an all-time high in 2024 and more than doubled the level seen in 1990. Along with being the biggest producer of natural gas, the United States is also the largest consumer of natural gas. The increased demand and consumption of natural gas can be attributed to many governments moving away from coal in order to reduce air pollution.

Liquefied natural gas (LNG) has greatly affected global energy dynamics. U.S. LNG exports have tripled since 2010. This progression of natural gas has allowed the United States to become energy self-sufficient. Qatar and the U.S. are continuing to invest in LNG by building import terminals and other resources. The use of LNG will continue to increase with these investments, which will lead to LNG impacting the natural gas industry moving forward.

Even with climate commitments, efforts to reduce environmental footprints, and the continued growth of renewable energy sources, natural gas remains an important energy source for the planet. It has been able to provide stability to the energy sector as the sector continues to try to transition to renewable energy sources. The energy industry will continue evolving and changing, but natural gas has showed no signs of becoming disused. Its ability to adapt and its global reach mean natural gas will remain a major player in the world of energy. --- Nicholas A. Muto

House Republicans Pitch 23 Percent Cut to EPA

“While dramatic, the cut is still not as severe as the administration’s proposal, which would have slashed the EPA’s budget by 54 percent.”

Why this is important: The Hill reports that House Republicans intend to slash EPA’s budget by 23 percent, which is less than the Trump administration’s earlier promise to cut it by 54 percent. The Hill estimated that neither cut is likely to be as significant because the bill will need at least a sliver of Democrat support in the House to survive.

Since the release of The Hill’s piece, the EPA announced, on Friday, July 18, that it will eliminate the EPA’s Office of Research and Development (ORD) in its entirety, axing hundreds of research positions filled by biologists, chemists, and toxicologists who conduct scientific research in support of the agency’s policy aims. The New York Times reported that the EPA, even before the recent announcement, has experienced significant turnover, writing, “When Mr. Trump took office, the E.P.A. had 16,155 employees. But more than 3,700 employees have left the agency or are set to leave through firings, retirements, resignations, and other moves, eventually bringing the agency’s workforce to 12,448, a level last seen during the Reagan administration.” The ORD firings will increase that number significantly. According to the EPA’s press release on July 18, the RIF will result in $748,800,000 in savings, though it did not describe the time frame in which those cost-cutting measures will be realized. The EPA’s press release also noted that the ORD will be replaced by a “new Office of Applied Science and Environmental Solutions, which will allow EPA to prioritize research and science more than ever before and put it at the forefront of rulemakings and technical assistance to states.”

Though many in industry will hail this as an unqualified success, there is significant potential for unintended consequences like permitting delays, environmental planning delays, and longer wait times on EPA decision-making in general. It may also place many longstanding relationships between industry attorneys, project proponents, and agency insiders in jeopardy. As in every aspect of business, relationships and contacts account for a large proportion of success in getting projects over the finish line. With fewer contacts left at EPA to answer the phone, we may be entering a prolonged period of uncertainty in the environmental permitting sector. --- Jason E. Wandling

An Ohio Solar Project Overcomes Local Opposition and Misinformation

“A contested solar agrivoltaics project avoided having its permit denied by Ohio regulators, likely thanks to the neutral stances of a county board and one of its townships.”

Why this is important: The 120 MW Frasier Solar project in Ohio has received final local government approval. The 840-acre project faced strong initial local opposition and opposition by fossil fuel groups tied to natural gas. A change in opposition by one county led to the project’s approval. Between 2023 and 2024, opposition to solar farms has increased by 32 percent by one survey, and remains a strong impediment nationally. --- Mark E. Heath

Q2 EV Sales Dip During Record First Half; Q3 Poised for Spike Before Tax Credit Expires

“With government-backed incentives set to end in September and economic pressures mounting, the second half of the year will be a critical test of EV demand.”

Why this is important: Electric vehicle sales tanked in the second quarter of 2025, dropping about 6 percent in year-over-year sales. They may increase in the third quarter, because September 30 will be the last day to get tax incentives of up to $7500 for buying an EV. It will be interesting to see what EV sales do when they are not supported by a subsidy. Beginning October 1, we’ll get an idea of the real demand for electric vehicles. --- David L. Yaussy

Virginia's Massive Offshore Wind Project Lives On

“The budget reconciliation package recently passed by Congress and signed by the president rolled back many Biden-era environmental initiatives, but not Virginia's wind farm.”

Why this is important: A massive wind farm off Virginia Beach has survived attempts to cut back such projects in the Budget Reconciliation Bill. The wind farm, when completed, will power 600,000 homes. The project is still under construction, but is half completed. Opponents realized that if the new Congressional bill had cut credits for it, Virginia ratepayers would have been charged $6 billion in construction costs on the wind farm to date and would have received no power from it. --- Mark E. Heath


 

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DISCLAIMER: Because of the generality of this update, the information provided herein may not be applicable in all situations and should not be acted upon without specific legal advice based on particular situations. Attorney Advertising.

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