The Network for Greening the Financial System has published the fifth phase of its long-term climate macro-financial scenarios for climate risks assessments. The main development is an updated assessment of physical risk. It now incorporates a new damage function, resulting in more substantial physical impacts from climate change. The Network for Greening the Financial System scenarios have been updated with new economic and climate data, policy commitments, and model versions.
Alongside the updated scenarios, the NGFS has published: (i) a high-level overview of the updates in the publication package, with a specific focus on the new damage function used for (chronic) physical risk assessment; (ii) a more detailed explanatory note on the new damage function; and (iii) updated technical documentation that discusses the NGFS modeling framework and assumptions behind the scenarios.
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