News & Analysis as of

Federal Reserve Recessions

J.S. Held

Lending Climate in America – 2nd Quarter 2025 Survey

J.S. Held on

Lender confidence in the US economy’s performance over the next six months is waning due to concerns over the impacts of tariff uncertainty and the possibility of a recession. Meanwhile, lenders believe the Fed will cut...more

WilmerHale

Breaking (Down) the Debt Ceiling

WilmerHale on

Since 1960, Congress has raised, revised or extended the statutory debt ceiling 79 times. The United States reached its debt ceiling in January 2023, prompting a congressional showdown and sparking fears of extreme market...more

Constangy, Brooks, Smith & Prophete, LLP

Important economic indicators for employers

Help wanted. Since March 2022, the Federal Reserve has increased its target interest rate from a range of 0.25-0.50 percent to 5.25-5.50 percent, the steepest rate increases in four decades. The purpose of the increases was...more

ArentFox Schiff

Why a Recession Could Be Good for the Bond Market, the Banking Sector, and the Real Estate Market

ArentFox Schiff on

As odd as it may seem and as odd as it is to say, what the municipal market, medium-sized banks, and the real estate market need is a good old fashioned (but not too severe) recession. On July 26, the Federal Reserve Board...more

Ankura

Ankura Monthly Economic Indicators Overview - Holiday Edition [November 2022]

Ankura on

Retail sales increased 8.0% in October, exceeding the CORE CPI of 6.3%; and monthly retail sales were up .9% over September totals, exceeding the monthly inflation index of .4%, but much of this gain was due to inflation...more

Opportune LLP

The Fed’s Fight Against Inflation: Is WTI Crude Oil Recession Proof?

Opportune LLP on

How quickly things have changed. Just a year ago, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gave a picturesque view of the economy. Any inflation was transitory and would likely fall to 2% in 2022. The federal funds rate would...more

Paul Hastings LLP

Daily Financial Regulation Update -- Tuesday, August 2, 2022

Paul Hastings LLP on

August 1, 2022- The U.S. Department of the Treasury announced its current estimates of privately-held net marketable borrowing for the July – September 2022 and October – December 2022 quarters....more

Rivkin Radler LLP

Will An Economic Downturn Lead to An Increase in Tax-Related Whistleblowing?

Rivkin Radler LLP on

Economic Downturn? The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee announced last week that it would raise the Fed’s baseline interest rate by 0.75 percentage points, the largest such increase since 1994. ...more

Robins Kaplan LLP

Financial Daily Dose 7.30.2020 | Top Story: Fed Recommits to Covid Relief Efforts as US GDP Craters

Robins Kaplan LLP on

As expected, the Fed left rates unchanged at near zero as the Open Market Committee broke on Wednesday but managed to buoy stocks by pledging to “keep supporting the United States economy as the pandemic continues to depress...more

Robins Kaplan LLP

Financial Daily Dose 6.15.2020 | Top Story: Reopening-Related COVID Surge Pauses Recent Market Rally

Robins Kaplan LLP on

Rising infection rates around the U.S. and the globe are worrying markets, as fear of a second wave of cases linked with the reopening of the economy freaks out traders....more

Robins Kaplan LLP

Financial Daily Dose 6.9.2020 | Top Story: NBER Declares US Entered Recession in February

Robins Kaplan LLP on

No one—truly, not even the most casual economic observer—should be shocked by yesterday’s official declaration from the National Bureau of Economic Research that the U.S. is in a recession that officially began in February....more

Robins Kaplan LLP

Financial Daily Dose 5.22.2020 | Top Story: U.S. Sees 2.4 Million More Unemployment Claims and Concerns Over Undercounting

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This week’s latest initial unemployment filings numbered 2.4 million, a “slight drop-off in the wave of historically high weekly filings” since the pandemic hit the U.S. economy. Don’t get too excited, though. Continuing...more

Robins Kaplan LLP

Financial Daily Dose 5.12.2020 | Top Story: Fed Launches ETF Buying in Effort to Aid Credit Markets

Robins Kaplan LLP on

For the first time, the Federal Reserve system will begin buying corporate bonds—all part of the central bank’s efforts to “support the economy and financial system in the coronavirus crisis.” The NY Fed will kick things off...more

ArentFox Schiff

Compared to 2008, Will the Fed’s Relief Efforts Be Enough to Avert Another Mortgage Crisis?

ArentFox Schiff on

The Federal Reserve continues to roll out multiple measures to strengthen the economy during the COVID-19 pandemic. Many of these measures are intended to buffer the housing market, which is affected by broader macroeconomic...more

Robins Kaplan LLP

Financial Daily Dose 4.30.2020 | Top Story: Fed Holds Rates Near Zero, Pledges to Use All of its Tools to Protect US Economy

Robins Kaplan LLP on

The Fed closed out its April Open Markets Committee by holding rates steady at nearly zero but also pledging to “use its ‘full range of tools’ to insulate the economy as coronavirus lockdowns sap economic growth and throw...more

Robins Kaplan LLP

Financial Daily Dose 3.27.2020 | Top Story: Weekly unemployment claims in US top 3.3 million in COVID-19-shaken economy

Robins Kaplan LLP on

Anticipated House passage later today of the $2 trillion COVID-19 stimulus bill helped swing markets back to a bull run (though let’s keep that bubbly corked, shall we?). The news was enough for Wall Street to shrug off a...more

Robins Kaplan LLP

Financial Daily Dose 3.19.2020 | Top Story: Second COVID-19 Relief Package Now Law But Market Chaos Remains

Robins Kaplan LLP on

Late action by the Senate to pass a second COVID-19 relief package (that the White House soon signed) may [key word may] help markets yo-yo back upward today after a dismal Wednesday driven by crazy-low oil prices (West Texas...more

Bilzin Sumberg

Coronavirus and the Next Possible Financial Crisis: Corporate Debt

Bilzin Sumberg on

As the world grapples with the health threat posed by the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), the secondary threats of the coronavirus—including economic and financial consequences—have come into clear view....more

Robins Kaplan LLP

Financial Daily Dose 3.17.2020 | Top Story: The Bear Market Roars, with Markets Falling nearly 13% as Whole Sectors of US Economy...

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As Americans [way-too] slowly come to the realization that COVID-19 is a very real and very present threat, the business world is changing around them at a staggering pace. Stocks nosedived again on Monday, with the three...more

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